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Independent: Bank warns Iran war ‘could mean future hike’. Guardian: £146bn of gilts going back to the Treasury

One 6-3 vote to hold Bank rate at 3.75%, four reports, four different subjects. Two of them size the Bank’s bond plan differently — £146bn as a single total against £46bn a year for eight years — and neither converts to the other.

Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike
Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike as published by The Independent · seen at The Independent
Anglosphere United Kingdom

The decision is the same in all four reports. The Bank of England held Bank rate at 3.75%, the sixth hold in a row. Three reports give the 6-3 split; two name Huw Pill, Megan Greene and Catherine Mann as the three who wanted 4%.

What the hold is said to mean is not the same.

Report What it leads on Hedged?
The Independent, news “Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike” Yes — “could”, and Bailey’s “more likely it is we will need to raise”
The Independent, markets London stocks rise on a “hawkish” hold “Hawkish” is quoted, and sourced to investors
The Independent, explainer Why rates stayed the same, and what that does to a mortgage Yes — policymakers “may need to raise”
The Guardian A “surprise announcement” on selling gilts back to the Treasury Cannot say — we hold only the standfirst

The bond plan is sized two ways. The Guardian puts it at £146bn sold back to the Treasury. The Independent gives an average pace of £46bn a year over eight years, of which £20bn is sales. No report we hold sets the two figures side by side.

Not settled. Whether those two figures describe the same plan. Whether five of the six members who voted to hold set out conditions for raising — one report counts them, and no second outlet we hold covers the minutes. And what a borrower makes of any of it: four City economists are quoted on what comes next, and no mortgage holder or saver is quoted at all.

What this is about. The Bank of England sets the interest rate that steers what British households pay on mortgages and loans and earn on savings. On Thursday it left that rate at 3.75%.

How it got here. The Bank has been independent of ministers on rates since 1997. Rate decisions are taken by its nine-member Monetary Policy Committee, which is set a 2% inflation target by the Government. Rates have not moved since December, and the reports say prices have turned the wrong way: Consumer Prices Index inflation rose to 3.1% in August from 2.9% in July, a five-month high, driven largely by petrol and diesel prices at multi-year highs. The reports attribute that to a war — which they call, variously, the Iran war, the war in Iran and the Middle East conflict — disrupting oil and gas supplies. The Bank now expects inflation of about 3.75% by the end of 2026 and a peak near 4% by early 2027, against a previous forecast of about 3.2%. Raising rates is the Bank’s main tool against inflation, so the committee’s problem is an inflation it did not forecast, driven by something it cannot control.

Who is in it. Governor Andrew Bailey chairs the committee and voted to hold. Pill, Greene and Mann voted to raise to 4%. Chancellor John Healey, whose first autumn Budget comes in October, must approve the Bank’s new method of unwinding its bond holdings, because those bonds would go back to the Government rather than into the market. The Government has already scrapped VAT on energy bills from October to March, and Ofgem’s price cap rises next month.

What is at stake. A rise adds to every new fixed mortgage; a hold leaves inflation running above target. The bond change moves the state’s own borrowing costs: the announcement pushed the 30-year gilt yield down to about 5.72%, its lowest in more than a month.

What is being argued about

  • The sixth consecutive hold at 3.75% and the 6-3 vote
  • Whether the war makes a rate rise likely, and when
  • The unannounced change to how the Bank sells its gilts
  • What the decision does to mortgages, savings and energy bills
One hold, four subjectsSide by side
outletwhat it saidhedged?
The Independent (news)“Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike”Yes — “could” in the headline; Bailey quoted as “the more likely it is we will need to raise Bank rate”
The Independent (markets)“London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold”Yes — “hawkish” is in quotation marks and attributed to investors and analysts
The Independent (explainer)“Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next?”Yes — policymakers “may need to raise interest rates in the future”
The Guardian“The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter?”, on a “surprise announcement”Cannot say — the only text we hold is the standfirst and its links
What each report puts first, and whether the claim in its headline is hedged.
Sources The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Guardian
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Guardian 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Guardian → What we have measured Actor named Denial in the passive voice, with no one named as the person who dismissed it ×1Actor named names Israel as acting and states the death toll flat, with no source ×1Actor named Ireland named as the side that ended the conference ×1Allegation omitted the police statement is cut with an ellipsis where the other two reports carry the controlling or coercive behaviour allegation ×1 from 10552 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The same bond plan, two sizesChart
The two figures count different things, and no report we hold reconciles them.
Sources The Guardian
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Guardian 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Guardian → What we have measured Actor named Denial in the passive voice, with no one named as the person who dismissed it ×1Actor named names Israel as acting and states the death toll flat, with no source ×1Actor named Ireland named as the side that ended the conference ×1Allegation omitted the police statement is cut with an ellipsis where the other two reports carry the controlling or coercive behaviour allegation ×1 from 10552 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Who voted which way, and who said what would change their mindSide by side
membervotewhat they said
Andrew Bailey, governorHold“policy may have to tighten” if the Middle East conflict persists
Sarah BreedenHolda hike would be appropriate if “second-round effects crystallise”
Clare LombardelliHoldthe “case for raising bank rate is building”
Dave RamsdenHold“there could be a case for increasing bank rate”
Alan TaylorHoldsecond-round effects “would build the case for tightening”
Sixth member voting to holdHoldnot named in any report we hold
Huw PillRaise to 4%no reason quoted in the reports we hold
Megan GreeneRaise to 4%no reason quoted in the reports we hold
Catherine MannRaise to 4%no reason quoted in the reports we hold
The conditions in the right-hand column come from one report only; no other outlet we hold covers the minutes. The reports name eight of the nine members.
Sources The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The bias in this coverageBias

One bond plan, two sizes

One report sizes the bond programme at £146bn sold back to the Treasury; another gives £46 billion a year over eight years, of which £20 billion is sales. Neither converts to the other's measure, so a reader cannot tell whether they describe the same plan. The rate decision itself — held at 3.75%, split 6-3 — is identical across all four.

1 reports leading the bond plan on a total 1 reports giving an annual pace instead 0 reports reconciling the two figures

Who is asked what a hold means

Two reports name the three members who voted to raise; one goes further and counts how many of the six holders set out conditions for a hike. Between them the reports quote five market economists on what comes next and no mortgage holder, saver or borrower. Only the explainer describes the decision in household terms, and it names the war two different ways within the same piece.

2 reports naming the three dissenters 1 reports counting conditions set by the majority 5 market analysts quoted 0 borrowers or savers quoted
Scored without the mastheads. Where the two passes differ, both are kept.
Sources The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Guardian
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Guardian 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Guardian → What we have measured Actor named Denial in the passive voice, with no one named as the person who dismissed it ×1Actor named names Israel as acting and states the death toll flat, with no source ×1Actor named Ireland named as the side that ended the conference ×1Allegation omitted the police statement is cut with an ellipsis where the other two reports carry the controlling or coercive behaviour allegation ×1 from 10552 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →

Claims and verdicts

true The Bank of England held Bank rate at 3.75%, the sixth hold in a row.
Three Independent reports and The Guardian all carry the hold at 3.75%, and two Independent reports state it is the sixth consecutive unchanged decision, with rates unmoved since December. No report we hold disputes either.
Checked against 4 sources:
The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Guardian
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Guardian 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Guardian → What we have measured Actor named Denial in the passive voice, with no one named as the person who dismissed it ×1Actor named names Israel as acting and states the death toll flat, with no source ×1Actor named Ireland named as the side that ended the conference ×1Allegation omitted the police statement is cut with an ellipsis where the other two reports carry the controlling or coercive behaviour allegation ×1 from 10552 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
unverified Five of the six members who voted to hold set out conditions under which they would vote to raise rates.
Only one Independent report makes this count, quoting Bailey, Breeden, Lombardelli, Ramsden and Taylor in turn. The Independent's two other reports say more loosely that policymakers said the case for a rise was building, and no second outlet we hold covers the minutes.
Checked against 3 sources:
The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
true The Bank will sell gilts back to the Treasury instead of to financial markets.
The Independent reports the Bank asking Chancellor John Healey to approve selling gilts back to the Government, pausing current auctions, and The Guardian reports the same shake-up. The two give different figures — £46bn a year over eight years including £20bn of annual sales, against The Guardian's £146bn — and the Guardian text we hold is a standfirst only.
Checked against 2 sources:
The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Guardian
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Guardian 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Guardian → What we have measured Actor named Denial in the passive voice, with no one named as the person who dismissed it ×1Actor named names Israel as acting and states the death toll flat, with no source ×1Actor named Ireland named as the side that ended the conference ×1Allegation omitted the police statement is cut with an ellipsis where the other two reports carry the controlling or coercive behaviour allegation ×1 from 10552 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →

Who wrote it

J Jeremy Cutler The Independent
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Dating both currency readings dated to the same day×1
Evaluative adjective The share rises are called 'stellar' in the report's own voice×1
Figures given The only report to give the deposit and loan terms. It says costs are not yet known×1
How the hold is characterised a hold reported as a near-miss, with the holders' conditions counted×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
2 unverified3 true
From 34 reports we hold under this byline, at The Independent. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
H Heather Stewart The Guardian
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Evaluative phrase, no actor named borrowing is called out-of-control and no government is named as the borrower×1
Hedged causation the Yemen link is doubly softened — concerns, and could×1
Measure chosen bond plan sized as one total, not an annual pace×1
Which figure is used Makes the 30-year yield the record and dates it to 1998; its own standfirst says 5.88% where the body says 5.89%.×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 misleading1 disputed2 unverified3 true
From 69 reports we hold under this byline, at The Guardian. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
A Anna Wise The Independent · 2 reports on this story
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Measure chosen headline names the war as the reason for a future hike×1
Measure chosen The only report carrying a number; the fall is dated and sized, and "after" does the causal work the body never claims.×1
Naming same war called two things in one report×1
What the headline names as the cause the war named as the driver of a future rise×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
2 unverified2 true
From 123 reports we hold under this byline, at The Independent. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
The bylines on the reports this story is built from. Hover one for what our passes have measured on their reporting.

Coverage, outlet by outlet

The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
The only report that quotes the holders’ own conditions, naming Bailey, Breeden, Lombardelli, Ramsden and Taylor in turn, and the only one with market reaction: the FTSE 100 up 1.2%, and four City economists on what
News Business London stocks rise as investors digest Bank of England’s ‘hawkish’ hold The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted 6-3 to maintain bank rate at 3.75%, repeating July’s split. Jeremy Cutler Thursday 17 September 2026 17:30 BST Bookmark Bookmark popover Removed from bookmarks Close popover (John Walton/PA) (PA Archive) Your support helps us to tell the story Read more Support Now From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or p
Measure chosen: only report counting the shift inside the majority — “Five of the six members who supported a hold explicitly outlined circumstances that could lead them to vote for tighter policy”
Whose voice is quoted: five market analysts, no borrower or saver — “Citigroup analyst May Rostom thinks a quarter-point rate hike is on the cards in November.”
Dating: both currency readings dated to the same day — “The pound was quoted at 1.3356 dollars on Wednesday, down from 1.3449 dollars at the same time on Wednesday.”
Who is named on the vote: the three dissenters named — “with Huw Pill, Megan Greene and Catherine Mann again backing a 25 basis point increase”
How the hold is characterised: a hold reported as a near-miss, with the holders' conditions counted — “Five of the six members who supported a hold explicitly outlined circumstances that could lead them to vote for tighter policy”
Read it at The Independent → https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/bank-of-england-london-andr…
The Guardian
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Guardian 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent The Bank of England is shaking up its bond sales – why does it matter? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Guardian → What we have measured Actor named Denial in the passive voice, with no one named as the person who dismissed it ×1Actor named names Israel as acting and states the death toll flat, with no source ×1Actor named Ireland named as the side that ended the conference ×1Allegation omitted the police statement is cut with an ellipsis where the other two reports carry the controlling or coercive behaviour allegation ×1 from 10552 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
The only report not from The Independent, the only one to make the bond change the story rather than a footnote, and the only one to size it at £146bn. It also flags Burnham’s talk of “breathing space” as “at odds with
Mixed in with the Bank of England’s decision on Thursday to hold interest rates at 3.75% was a surprise announcement that it was shaking up its programme of quantitative tightening. So why is this apparently arcane change to QT important, and what does it mean for the public finances?
Measure chosen: bond plan sized as one total, not an annual pace — “What the plan to sell £146bn in gilts back to the Treasury means for the public finances”
Which figure is chosen: the bond programme sized at a single total, against yearly figures elsewhere — “What the plan to sell £146bn in gilts back to the Treasury means for the public finances”
Read it at The Guardian → https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/sep/17/bank-of-england-bond-s…
The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
The only report that says what the rate does to a household — mortgages, loans and savings rates. It also names the same war two ways, as “the war in Iran” and as “the Middle East conflict”.
News Business Why have interest rates stayed the same and what could happen next? The Bank of England has kept rates unchanged for the sixth time in a row. Anna Wise Thursday 17 September 2026 15:47 BST Bookmark Bookmark popover Removed from bookmarks Close popover open image in gallery How to manage your money as a couple without falling out (Alamy/PA) (Alamy/PA) Your support helps us to tell the story Read more Support Now From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Mu
Naming: same war called two things in one report — “Energy bills are influenced by wholesale oil and gas prices, which have surged because supplies have been disrupted since the war in Iran.”
Which reader is addressed: the decision explained through mortgages and loans — “The base rate helps dictate how expensive it is to take out a mortgage or a loan.”
Read it at The Independent → https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/bank-of-england-mpc-andrew-…
The Independent
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Independent 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Independent → What we have measured Accused party response Russia's side is reported as no comment. ×1A company statement about itself, taken as a "reveals" rather than "says", for a company's account of its own product ×1A count stated flat four crimes is given as a settled number in the headline, with no court, charge or jurisdiction attached ×1Actor named No actor named for the cut-short or for the clashes ×1 from 20313 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
The only report carrying Bailey’s warning in full — “the longer this volatility persists… the more likely it is we will need to raise Bank rate” — the Bank’s raised inflation forecast, and the bond plan sized as £46bn a
News Business Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike The decision to hold interest rates at 3.75% marks the sixth time in a row that the MPC has not changed borrowing costs. Anna Wise Thursday 17 September 2026 15:16 BST Bookmark Bookmark popover Removed from bookmarks Close popover open image in gallery The Bank of England has held interest rates at 3.75% (Jordan Pettitt/PA) (PA Archive) Your support helps us to tell the story Read more Support Now From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is de
Measure chosen: headline names the war as the reason for a future hike — “Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike”
What the headline names as the cause: the war named as the driver of a future rise — “Interest rates held at 3.75% but Bank warns Iran war could mean future hike”
Whose forecast is quoted: an outside economist's shift from possibility to probability quoted flat — “the risk of a rate hike has shifted from a possibility to a probability”
Read it at The Independent → https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/bank-of-england-mpc-john-he…
Checked, didn’t cover
T The Irish Times
Centre estimate · not a score
The Irish Times 🇮🇪IE · digital · No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Actor framing The release is framed as a joint agreement, with no pressure mentioned ×1Actor named Names the residents as the ones who blocked the road ×1Actor named killers named as 'loyalist gunmen'; verb 'shot dead' ×1With no actor named construction no actor named for the theft or the driving in the standfirst ×1 from 1358 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → R RNZ
Centre estimate · not a score
RNZ 🇳🇿NZ · digital · PUBLIC No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Headline against body headline claims a 20-year decline reversed; the first line of the body reports a new low in reading ×1Headline against body headline claims a turnaround; the text carries a record low and puts it on boys ×1 from 2328 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → R RTÉ News
Centre estimate · not a score
RTÉ News 🇮🇪IE · digital · PUBLIC No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Abstraction as the actor the dispute acts and no one in it is named ×1Account taken as default the police description of the crowd as 'hostile' is carried with no other account ×1Accuracy the Slovenia entry in the country list repeats Austria's name ×1Active voice offender Donaldson is named as the one who did the abuse, in the active voice. ×1 from 2361 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → ABC News (Australia)
Centre estimate · not a score
ABC News (Australia) 🇦🇺AU · public broadcaster · public-service No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Actor label and hedge The same man is called 'far-right' and named by his legal name. The act is hedged with 'allegedly', where the longer report states it flat. ×1A different count, stated flat one dead and 140 missing, unattributed, earliest of the four ×1Affected counted The only report to count the local people affected ×1Are the dead named one of the dead named, through a relative at the hospital ×1 from 4667 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → C CBC News
Centre-left estimate · not a score
CBC News 🇨🇦CA · public broadcaster · public-service No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Asserted vs attributed the measure is attributed to the three governments; the territory is called occupied in the outlet's own voice ×1Attribution kept in the headline the sourcing travels with the claim into the headline ×1Figure rounded in the headline more than 600 in the headline; the body sources it to a flight-tracking site ×1How the sourcing is hedged the claim is hedged to an unnamed newspaper in both headline and body; the reporting is not held by this report ×1 from 2730 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Silence is recorded, not inferred — each of these was read when we built this story and carried nothing on this event.
We could not read these
BBC News
Centre estimate · not a score
BBC News 🇬🇧UK · public broadcaster · public-service No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Dating and attribution 'It was not until Tuesday' is a judgement about delay, not a date. No other report we hold comments on how long the German finding took. ×1How hard the claim is stated Headline says the UN voted to adopt and replace; the last sentence of the report says the vote is non-binding ×1How hard the claim is stated The qualification arrives in the last sentence and is immediately overridden by an effect the report gives no source for. ×1Which figure is used States the replacement as done — the Assembly voted to replace the map — where the resolution urges states to use a different projection. ×1 from 473 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Daily Telegraph
Right estimate · not a score
The Daily Telegraph 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Times
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Times 🇬🇧UK · newspaper · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times →
These are must-cite outlets for this desk that we did not manage to read when we built this story. That is a gap in our reach, not a silence on their part, and it is not evidence of anything about this story.

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