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Kan has Eisenkot on 24 and Likud on 20; Channel 14 has Likud first on 30

The Jerusalem Post reports five Israeli polls published in one night. Four put Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar ahead of Likud; the fifth puts Likud nine seats clear of it. That report is the only one we hold that carries a seat figure at all.

Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers
Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers as published by The Jerusalem Post · seen at The Jerusalem Post
Levant & Iran Israel

One report, five polls. The Jerusalem Post is the only report we hold that carries any seat figures. It describes five surveys published on Wednesday night. Four put Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar ahead of Likud. The fifth, Channel 14, puts Likud first on 30 — twelve more than the lowest figure any of the others gives it.

Poll Yashar Likud Netanyahu bloc Bloc opposed to Netanyahu
Kan 24 20 52 52
Channel 13 22 18 54 52
Channel 12 23 20 50 66
Channel 14 21 30 64 —
Channel 16 21 18 52 53

Not all of them are deadlocked. The Post's own arithmetic gives the right-wing bloc 64 seats in the Channel 14 poll, and the bloc opposed to Netanyahu 66 in the Channel 12 poll. Only the Kan, Channel 13 and Channel 16 figures leave both sides short of the 61 the report itself names as the threshold for forming a government. The Channel 12 total counts 12 Arab-party seats, which the report adds on a separate line from what it calls Zionist parties.

What is not settled. No report gives a sample size, a field date or a margin of error for any of the five polls, and no second report carries a number to set against the Post's. The Post writes that Ofer Winter's People of Israel "has established itself above the electoral threshold", but gives it a figure — four seats — in only two of the five surveys. No Arab party representative is quoted in any of the six reports we hold.

This is a story about an Israeli election campaign in which the published polling does not agree on who is winning.

Israel elects its parliament, the Knesset, by nationwide proportional representation: 120 seats, a threshold below which a party wins nothing, and a government that needs the confidence of 61 members. No single party has ever won 61 alone, so Israeli elections are decided by blocs rather than by parties, and the question of who will sit with whom settles the result more often than the seat counts do. Israelis vote again next month.

Benjamin Netanyahu has led Likud since 2005 and has been prime minister for most of the years since 2009. Since 2019 Israeli politics has cycled through repeated elections, each one turning on whether a majority can be assembled for him or against him. His outgoing coalition included Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionist Party and Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit, both on the far right. Against him stands a bloc with no single leader: Gadi Eisenkot, a former army chief of staff, leads a new party, Yashar; Naftali Bennett, prime minister in 2021-22, leads another; Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu is a third.

Two arguments run underneath the numbers. One is 7 October 2023 and the war in Gaza that followed — Eisenkot told Kan Public Radio that the Shin Bet and Military Intelligence investigations into that day "will send shockwaves". The other is whether ultra-Orthodox men should be conscripted, a dispute that has broken Israeli coalitions before and that one candidate is now using against another.

And there is the arithmetic. The Arab parties — Hadash-Ta'al-Balad and Ra'am — hold seats the bloc opposed to Netanyahu cannot reach 61 without, and whether to rely on them is exactly what Liberman is pressing Eisenkot to answer in public. That is where the campaign stands today: a fortnight of polls that disagree, and a question about partners that nobody has answered.

What is being argued about

  • Five Israeli polls published in one night, and the one that points the other way
  • Whether either bloc is anywhere near a majority
  • Arab-party seats counted on a separate line from the bloc they would join
  • What none of the polls publish: sample sizes, field dates, margins of error
Five polls, one nightTable
PollYasharLikudNetanyahu blocBloc opposed to Netanyahu
Kan24205252
Channel 1322185452
Channel 1223205066
Channel 14213064—
Channel 1621185253
Five-poll average22.221.254.451
Every figure as the Jerusalem Post reported it. Channel 14 publishes no total for the bloc opposed to Netanyahu. None of the five is published with a sample size, a field date or a margin of error.
Sources The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
What each poll gives LikudChart
The disagreement in one column. Four polls put Likud between 18 and 20 seats; Channel 14 puts it on 30, and first.
Sources The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Six reports, one with numbersSide by side
OutletWhat it addsAny seat figures?
The Jerusalem PostFive polls party by party, a five-poll average, and one analyst on what it meansyes — the only one
HaaretzEisenkot urging opposition leaders to back him; Liberman asking who his partners would beno
Arutz ShevaThe same challenge, told as Yisrael Beytenu hitting back at Eisenkotno
HaaretzNetanyahu said to be chasing about seven seats from the opposition bloc; Ben-Gvir chasing voters within the rightseven seats, with no source given
YnetTropper's charge that Winter "chose the side of draft evasion and Netanyahu"no
HaaretzAn argument that the radical right's growth is the surprise of the campaignno
What each of the six reports we hold adds, and whether it carries a seat figure of its own.
Sources The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot urges opposition party leaders to back his bid to unseat Netanyahu Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → A Arutz Sheva
Right estimate · not a score
Arutz Sheva 🇮🇱IL · digital · Yisrael Beytenu hits back at Eisenkot: Who are your partners? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Arutz Sheva → What we have measured A caveat kept in the only report we hold that says the rejection was of a promo, not the finished film ×1A different word, and a hedge Calls the same event an airstrike rather than a controlled demolition, and marks it "Reported" while offering footage as its evidence. ×1An allegation stated as established the headline presents the plan as fact and as a disclosure, with no attribution to the charge sheet ×1Asserted flat Calls it a 'terror network' and says Iran helped build it, in its own voice, with no source. ×1 from 2982 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent As Netanyahu eyes centrist voters, Ben-Gvir hopes to become champion of the right Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Ynet
Centre estimate · not a score
Ynet 🇮🇱IL · digital · independent טרופר בריאיון ראשון: "וינטר בחר בצד של ההשתמטות ונתניהו" Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Ynet → What we have measured A claim in the headline that the other reports very close to deciding the regime appears in one report only ×1Active voice The killers are the subject of the verbs 'beat' and 'burned'. ×1Active voice The killers are named as acting ×1Army's term, attributed the army names the target of its strikes, and no one on the other side is quoted ×1 from 2684 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Israel's radical right's growing strength is the election's frightening surprise Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The bias in this coverageBias

Five polls, and what is done with the fifth

Four of the five polls put Eisenkot's party first and leave the blocs deadlocked; the fifth gives the right 64 seats and Likud 30. The report names that poll, calls its picture the opposite, and then folds it into a five-poll average that puts the Netanyahu bloc ahead. No report gives a sample size, a field date or a margin of error for any of the five.

5 polls reported 4 polls putting Eisenkot's party first 1 polls giving the right a majority 0 polls whose sample size is published

Counted separately

The seat arithmetic separates "Zionist parties" from "Arab parties" and reports the anti-Netanyahu bloc twice, once with the Arab parties and once without. A commentator's advice — drop the question of partnering with Ra'am — closes the piece with no reply from Ra'am or from any Arab party. Across all six reports the desk holds, every quoted politician is Jewish Israeli.

1 reports counting Arab parties apart from the bloc 0 reports quoting an Arab party representative 1 reports quoting a named commentator on the figures
Scored without the mastheads. Where the two passes differ, both are kept.
Sources The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot urges opposition party leaders to back his bid to unseat Netanyahu Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → A Arutz Sheva
Right estimate · not a score
Arutz Sheva 🇮🇱IL · digital · Yisrael Beytenu hits back at Eisenkot: Who are your partners? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Arutz Sheva → What we have measured A caveat kept in the only report we hold that says the rejection was of a promo, not the finished film ×1A different word, and a hedge Calls the same event an airstrike rather than a controlled demolition, and marks it "Reported" while offering footage as its evidence. ×1An allegation stated as established the headline presents the plan as fact and as a disclosure, with no attribution to the charge sheet ×1Asserted flat Calls it a 'terror network' and says Iran helped build it, in its own voice, with no source. ×1 from 2982 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent As Netanyahu eyes centrist voters, Ben-Gvir hopes to become champion of the right Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Ynet
Centre estimate · not a score
Ynet 🇮🇱IL · digital · independent טרופר בריאיון ראשון: "וינטר בחר בצד של ההשתמטות ונתניהו" Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Ynet → What we have measured A claim in the headline that the other reports very close to deciding the regime appears in one report only ×1Active voice The killers are the subject of the verbs 'beat' and 'burned'. ×1Active voice The killers are named as acting ×1Army's term, attributed the army names the target of its strikes, and no one on the other side is quoted ×1 from 2684 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Israel's radical right's growing strength is the election's frightening surprise Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →

Claims and verdicts

unverified Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar led four of the five polls published on Wednesday night, with Channel 14 the exception.
The Jerusalem Post is the only report we hold that carries any seat figures, and its own numbers bear the claim out — Yashar ahead of Likud in the Kan, Channel 13, Channel 12 and Channel 16 polls, and behind Likud's 30 to 21 in Channel 14. No second report corroborates the figures.
Checked against 1 source:
The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
false The five polls left neither bloc with a majority.
The Jerusalem Post's own figures give the right-wing bloc 64 seats in the Channel 14 poll and the bloc opposed to Netanyahu 66 in the Channel 12 poll, both majorities in a 120-seat Knesset. Only the Kan (52-52), Channel 13 (54-52) and Channel 16 (52-53) polls are inconclusive.
Checked against 1 source:
The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
misleading Ofer Winter's People of Israel has established itself above the electoral threshold.
The Jerusalem Post asserts this at the top but gives the party a figure in only two of the five polls it describes — four seats each in the Kan and Channel 16 surveys — and reports no number for it in the Channel 12, Channel 13 or Channel 14 polls. Its only other appearance is inside a bloc average.
Checked against 1 source:
The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →

Who wrote it

נ נדב איל Ynet
What the bias passes found in their reporting
One side's attack line as the headline A rival's charge against another candidate is carried in the headline as the news, with the target's answer not in the text.×1
Whose voice leads one candidate's attack on a rival is the headline, in his words, unanswered×1
From 17 reports we hold under this byline, at Ynet. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
J Jonathan Lis Haaretz
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Intention stated as fact What two party leaders are trying to do is asserted with a figure attached and no source for either claim.×1
Named actor for failure dates the handover from the Shin Bet to 2021, with no politician named; one unnamed security source×1
What is stated flat two politicians' private intentions, and a seat figure for one of them, given with no source×1
Who is named as acting IDF named as the one killing×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 disputed1 unverified
From 55 reports we hold under this byline, at Haaretz. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
J Joshua Leifer Haaretz
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening.×1
What is asserted rather than attributed an evaluation of the campaign is written as the finding, in the reporter's own voice×1
From 13 reports we hold under this byline, at Haaretz. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
M Michael Hauser Tov Haaretz
What the bias passes found in their reporting
How a person is labelled the one Jewish MK barred is labelled by religion; the two Palestinian figures are not labelled at all×1
Naming the same party is called the United Arab List here and Ra'am elsewhere, with no report giving both names×1
Stated or attributed a different second job is stated flat, with no source given×1
The frame chosen the barred party appears as coalition arithmetic and a polling problem, not as a party removed from a ballot×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 unverified2 true
From 35 reports we hold under this byline, at Haaretz. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
The bylines on the reports this story is built from. Hover one for what our passes have measured on their reporting. · 2 reports we hold carry no byline — we do not invent one.

Coverage, outlet by outlet

The Jerusalem Post
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Jerusalem Post 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot leads most polls, but Netanyahu shortens distance, according to some of the top pollers Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Jerusalem Post → What we have measured A count the body does not carry the headline says eight countries; the sentence names seven foreign ministers ×1Actor framing The Gulf ministers are the ones acting. Iran is the party they meet. ×1Actor generalised The headline has 'Baghdad' celebrating. The photo caption says the crowd is supporters of one armed group. ×1Actor named names the militias and calls the act 'desecration', in its own voice ×1 from 4111 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
The only report we hold with any seat figures: five polls party by party, a five-poll average, and the analyst Barak Seri arguing the change bloc has shed six to seven seats in about two months.
Five polls published on Wednesday night showed a divided political landscape, with Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar holding a slight advantage over Likud at the party level, but with no clear outcome between the blocs.While Eisenkot led in most of the polls, a Channel 14 survey presented the opposite picture, significantly strengthening the Netanyahu bloc. At the same time, Ofer Winter's People of Israel has established itself above the electoral threshold, while the Hendel-Zelekha list remains on the margins and affects the distribution of seats.KAN News poll: Eisenkot leads, but blocs remain deadlocke
How the outlier is handled: the one poll that disagrees is named and characterised, then averaged in with the rest — “a Channel 14 survey presented the opposite picture, significantly strengthening the Netanyahu bloc”
How a party is named: Arab parties are counted on a separate line from "Zionist parties", and the bloc's real size is given without them — “including 54 seats for Zionist parties and 12 for Arab parties”
Which measure was chosen: The opposition's total is split into Zionist parties and Arab parties and reported as two numbers, so twelve seats sit outside the bloc that is said to be deadlocked. — “including 54 seats for Zionist parties and 12 for Arab parties”
Stated flat, no method: Every poll is given as a seat count with no sample size, field dates or margin of error anywhere in the report. — “A KAN News poll showed Eisenkot's party still leading with 24 seats.”
Whose voice is quoted: One analyst is the only interpretation offered, and he gets the last word plus a prescription for what the bloc should campaign on. — “Seri argued that the bloc's focus on internal questions and scenarios for forming a government without 61 seats was driving away undecided voters, particularly former Likud voters.”
Read it at The Jerusalem Post → https://www.jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-908921
Ynet
Centre estimate · not a score
Ynet 🇮🇱IL · digital · independent טרופר בריאיון ראשון: "וינטר בחר בצד של ההשתמטות ונתניהו" Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Ynet → What we have measured A claim in the headline that the other reports very close to deciding the regime appears in one report only ×1Active voice The killers are the subject of the verbs 'beat' and 'burned'. ×1Active voice The killers are named as acting ×1Army's term, attributed the army names the target of its strikes, and no one on the other side is quoted ×1 from 2684 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
The only report carrying Chili Tropper's charge, in his first interview since breaking with Hendel to join Eisenkot, that Ofer Winter "chose the side of draft evasion and Netanyahu".
על רקע הסקרים שהראו השבוע ירידה בגוש מתנגדי הקואליציה, בריאיון ראשון מאז שהצטרף ל"ישר!", חילי טרופר לא יוצא מכליו. "אני לא חושב שנכון להיכנס להיסטריה אף פעם, בטח שלא סקרים של שבוע אחד. הסקרים עכשיו מעבירים את כל המפלגות הקטנות – אבל יש סבירות נמוכה שהן אכן כולן יעברו. זה שנתניהו מגיע לבחירות האלה עם 3 מפלגות מימינו (ובדרך כלל מדובר באחת) מייצר אצלו אתגר ענק". בחירות 2026 ב-ynet: כל העדכונים, הסקרים והסרטונים בסיקור מקיף בתשובה למי שחושדים בו ובאנשיו שישחזרו את תקדימי שיקלי וסילמן, הוא עונה: "יש אנשים שעובדים בלערער ולסדוק את המחויבות של 'בית ציוני', של שירה שפירא, אליסף פרץ ושלי, לדרך. הם מבזב
Whose voice leads: one candidate's attack on a rival is the headline, in his words, unanswered — “וינטר בחר בצד של ההשתמטות ונתניהו”
One side's attack line as the headline: A rival's charge against another candidate is carried in the headline as the news, with the target's answer not in the text. — “וינטר בחר בצד של ההשתמטות ונתניהו”
Read it at Ynet → https://www.ynet.co.il/news/elections2026/article/skpusiftmx
A Arutz Sheva
Right estimate · not a score
Arutz Sheva 🇮🇱IL · digital · Yisrael Beytenu hits back at Eisenkot: Who are your partners? Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Arutz Sheva → What we have measured A caveat kept in the only report we hold that says the rejection was of a promo, not the finished film ×1A different word, and a hedge Calls the same event an airstrike rather than a controlled demolition, and marks it "Reported" while offering footage as its evidence. ×1An allegation stated as established the headline presents the plan as fact and as a disclosure, with no attribution to the charge sheet ×1Asserted flat Calls it a 'terror network' and says Iran helped build it, in its own voice, with no source. ×1 from 2982 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → —
Tells the same exchange from the other end — as Yisrael Beytenu firing back after Eisenkot criticised rivals, rather than as a demand put to Eisenkot.
Yisrael Beytenu party fires back after Yashar! chairman Gadi Eisenkot criticizes rivals, challenging Eisenkot to reveal who he would rely on to form a government.
Read it at Arutz Sheva → https://www.israelnationalnews.com/flashes/693696
Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent As Netanyahu eyes centrist voters, Ben-Gvir hopes to become champion of the right Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
States without attribution that Netanyahu is seeking to move about seven seats from the opposition bloc to Likud, and that Ben-Gvir is trying to draw voters from within the right as his own party falls.
oNavigationAccount Details Haaretz - back to home page SearchAccessibility Elections HQ Poll Tracker Likud Targets Overseas Voter Flights Why Vote? Right-wing Factions Emerge as Wild Cards The Arab Vote Current section Netanyahu is seeking to move about seven seats from the opposition bloc to Likud, while Ben-Gvir wishes to expand his party's strength by drawing voters from within the right, as his party falls in the polls Ad-free and in a comfortable reading format National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has stepped up his public attacks on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in recent weeks
What is stated flat: two politicians' private intentions, and a seat figure for one of them, given with no source — “Netanyahu is seeking to move about seven seats from the opposition bloc to Likud”
Intention stated as fact: What two party leaders are trying to do is asserted with a figure attached and no source for either claim. — “Netanyahu is seeking to move about seven seats from the opposition bloc to Likud”
Read it at Haaretz → https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections/2026-09-17/ty-article/.pr…
Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Israel's radical right's growing strength is the election's frightening surprise Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
Argues in the reporter's own voice that the radical right's growth is the campaign's frightening surprise, and that no parties offer a clearer vision than those promising annexation and expulsion.
oNavigationAccount Details Haaretz - back to home page SearchAccessibility Current section Ad-free and in a comfortable reading format As commercial channels normalize calls for war crimes in Gaza, no parties are offering a clearer vision of the future than the ones promising annexation, expulsion and religious dictatorship Last week, the far-right Amcha Yisrael party, headed by retired brigadier general Ofer Winter, released a campaign video ahead of Rosh Hashanah. The clip depicts a Jewish family, dressed in festive white, sitting down for the holiday meal, as different members of the party
What is asserted rather than attributed: an evaluation of the campaign is written as the finding, in the reporter's own voice — “Israel's radical right's growing strength is the election's frightening surprise”
Asserted in the report's own voice: Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. — “no parties are offering a clearer vision of the future than the ones promising annexation, expulsion and religious dictatorship”
Read it at Haaretz → https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2026-09-17/ty-article-magazine/.pre…
Haaretz
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Haaretz 🇮🇱IL · newspaper · independent Eisenkot urges opposition party leaders to back his bid to unseat Netanyahu Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Haaretz → What we have measured A previous framing corrected the twelve-country statement described as ambiguously worded ×1Asserted flat The report states as fact that barring Arab parties is a standing ritual. ×1Asserted flat The report says ethnicity explains the different outcomes, in its own voice. ×1Asserted in the report's own voice Parties are characterised by what they are said to promise, unattributed, and the headline calls the result frightening. ×1 from 1936 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → — independent
Carries Eisenkot on Kan Public Radio saying the Shin Bet and Military Intelligence investigations into October 7 "will send shockwaves", and Liberman telling him to state plainly who his partners would be.
oNavigationAccount Details Haaretz - back to home page SearchAccessibility Elections HQ Poll Tracker Likud Targets Overseas Voter Flights Why Vote? Right-wing Factions Emerge as Wild Cards The Arab Vote Current section The Yashar party leader told Kan Public Radio that the Shin Bet and Military Intelligence investigations into October 7 'will send shockwaves.' Lieberman: Eisenkot should clearly state who his partners will be the day after the elections Ad-free and in a comfortable reading format Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot said Thursday that Naftali Bennett, leader of the Together party,
What is asserted rather than tested: a party leader's prediction about unpublished inquiries is relayed in quotes with nothing set against it — “the Shin Bet and Military Intelligence investigations into October 7 'will send shockwaves.'”
Read it at Haaretz → https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections/2026-09-17/ty-article/.pr…
Checked, didn’t cover
Palestine TV · Palestinian Broadcasting Corporation
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
Palestine TV · Palestinian Broadcasting Corporation 🇵🇸PS · TV/radio · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Asserted versus attributed recognition itself stated as fact ×1Attribution 'historic' attributed to the Palestinian ambassador ×1Dead counted, not named two dead are counted as 'citizens' and none are named; the wounded are not counted ×1Dead named Gives the dead man's full name and age. ×1 from 766 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → IRNA (Islamic Republic News Agency)
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
IRNA (Islamic Republic News Agency) 🇮🇷IR · state agency · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured A contested word in the headline "illegal" is a Chinese spokesperson's characterisation, carried unmarked in the headline ×1A contested word taken as the report's own "illegal" appears in the headline without quotation marks or attribution to the speaker ×1Acted upon, never acting police are named as acting; whoever hoarded a billion toman of staples is not named at all ×1Actor label The Houthi-run authority is called Yemen's transport ministry. ×1 from 15038 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Shargh
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Shargh 🇮🇷IR · newspaper · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured A count with its base both days given, and the data called preliminary ×1Actor named as a state the attack is Yemen's, not the Houthis' ×1A different actor does the asking Pakistan's army chief, not Beijing, is the one asking Tehran to use its influence, on the word of unnamed Pakistani government sources. ×1'aggression' in the narration The US campaign is called aggression in the report's own narration, which it credits to Al-Ahram's account of the call. ×1 from 10199 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Al-Monitor
Centre estimate · not a score
Al-Monitor 🇺🇸US/ME · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Actor from anonymous officials Puts the IRGC at the trigger in a sentence sourc ×1Actor named Names the Director-General as the one who requested the dismissal ×1Actor named names Trump as the one who began the war, with Israel ×1Actor named names Israel as the actor in its military actions against the Palestinians ×1 from 1566 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Tehran Times
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
Tehran Times 🇮🇷IR · newspaper · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Asserted vs attributed headline states the seizure flat; the body attributes it to the claimant ×1Attribution the toll is attributed to a body that is described but not named ×1Headline against body headline states the seizure flat; the body attributes it to the IRGC ×1How the objectors are framed opposition is described as protesters speaking for civilians ×1 from 1753 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Al Jazeera English
Centre estimate · not a score
Al Jazeera English 🇶🇦QA · TV/radio · state-funded international No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Accusation attributed Cuba's charge is attributed to its foreign minister, not stated as fact ×1Actor named The headline names Israel as the actor and gives a count of three that includes a child. ×1Agency No actor is named for the detentions. The raids, not the soldiers, 'left' the town in lockdown ×1Agency Names Israel as the actor in the headline, in active voice ×1 from 4959 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → An-Nahar
Centre estimate · not a score
An-Nahar 🇱🇧LB · newspaper · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Accused named the accused is named and his age is given ×1Accused named names the accused and gives his age ×1A contested finding relayed with the case still the prime minister's claim carried, with the court proceedings noted in the same sentence ×1Active voice and a toll in the background paragraph, the July strikes get named actors and counted dead — the only counted dead in this story ×1 from 10777 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → LBCI (Lebanese Broadcasting Corporation International)
Centre estimate · not a score
LBCI (Lebanese Broadcasting Corporation International) 🇱🇧LB · TV/radio · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Active voice, actor named the Israeli army carried out the detonation ×1Actor framing Tehran calls the meeting. Iraq is the only other state named. ×1Actor left unnamed the strike in Iraqi waters has no one named as firing it — the source is "unknown" ×1Actor named names Israel as the one striking ×1 from 8159 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Silence is recorded, not inferred — each of these was read when we built this story and carried nothing on this event.
We could not read these
K Kan · Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation
Centre estimate · not a score
Kan · Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation 🇮🇱IL · public broadcaster · public-service No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → The Times of Israel
Centre estimate · not a score
The Times of Israel 🇮🇱IL · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Actorless in own voice The killing is passive with no shooter in the se ×1Headline carries the purpose The livestock and the army's reason are in the h ×1Headline frame The headline carries the military's word for the ×1Military words carried whole Both the label for the dead and the phrase for t ×1 from 149 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → A Al-Sabaah
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
Al-Sabaah 🇮🇶IQ · newspaper · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → Ma'an News Agency
Centre estimate · not a score
Ma'an News Agency 🇵🇸PS · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → Al Rai
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
Al Rai 🇯🇴JO · newspaper · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → Al-Mada
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Al-Mada 🇮🇶IQ · newspaper · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → North Press Agency
Centre estimate · not a score
North Press Agency 🇸🇾SY · wire · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Attribution the damage list is carried in full, attributed to the side claiming it ×1Single official source Uses the Saudi Press Agency's account: 'bilateral relations', with no mention of reconstruction or money. ×1What is at stake presents the stakes as trade and energy security; no ship, crew or price is counted ×1Which line is led with led by the legal instrument, naming the Security Council resolution by number ×1 from 1169 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → WAFA · Palestinian News & Information Agency
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
WAFA · Palestinian News & Information Agency 🇵🇸PS · state agency · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → SANA (Syrian Arab News Agency)
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
SANA (Syrian Arab News Agency) 🇸🇾SY · state agency · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → Al-Manar
State-owned, sometimes critical estimate · not a score
Al-Manar 🇱🇧LB · TV/radio · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → Galei Tzahal (Army Radio)
State / loyalist estimate · not a score
Galei Tzahal (Army Radio) 🇮🇱IL · TV/radio · state-controlled No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times → Middle East Eye
Centre-left estimate · not a score
Middle East Eye 🇬🇧UK · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured How hard the claim is stated Its own body says the investigators did not attribute the network to the Emirati state — the qualification its headline drops. ×1How hard the claim is stated The body withdraws in one line the attribution its own headline makes ×1How deeply it is sourced Cites its own past reporting as the evidence for the claim in its own headline, and calls the evidence widespread in its own voice ×1How deeply it is sourced Offers its own past reporting as the evidence supporting the claim in its headline, inside the same sentence that carries the denial. ×1 from 125 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times → Ammon News
Centre estimate · not a score
Ammon News 🇯🇴JO · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times →
These are must-cite outlets for this desk that we did not manage to read when we built this story. That is a gap in our reach, not a silence on their part, and it is not evidence of anything about this story.

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