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The Hill prints August at 162,000 jobs; Stateline says it was revised down to 133,000

Every outlet agrees September added 29,000 jobs and unemployment rose to 4.2%. They do not agree on the August figure it is measured against, and only CNBC gives a forecast.

Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K
Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K as published by Stateline · seen at Stateline
United States United States

The agreed number. The Hill, Stateline, NPR, MSNBC, CNBC and The Washington Post all report 29,000 jobs added in September and unemployment at 4.2%. All take it from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That is one source, not six.

The disputed number. How sharp the slowdown looks depends on which August an outlet prints.

Outlet August, as printed Revision given?
The Hill 162,000 No: the text we hold breaks off at "But BLS"
Stateline 133,000 Yes: "revised down from 162,000"
NPR none July and August together "revised down by a total of 60,000"

The benchmark. CNBC says 29,000 was "well below the 84,000 forecast". It does not say whose forecast. CNBC and The New York Times call the report weaker than expected. Stateline calls it "disappointing" in its own voice.

The Fed. MSNBC says the numbers "won't stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates, but it might pause", and names no source. CNBC says traders now see "little chance" of an October hike. The New York Times says market odds of a change in late October have dropped.

What is not settled - Whether The Hill went on to give the revision. We hold only its opening lines. - July's revised figure. No report we hold gives it. - How far Black unemployment rose. The New York Times says "sharply". The text we hold gives no number. - What Reuters reported. We could not read it.

This story is about the monthly count of American jobs, and how much the latest one shows the economy slowing.

How it got here. On the first Friday of most months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes two numbers. The bureau is part of the Labor Department. One number is how many jobs employers added, from a survey of businesses. The other is the unemployment rate, from a survey of households. The first estimate for any month is provisional. It is revised in each of the next two reports as late survey returns come in. So every release carries three numbers: the new month, and corrected figures for the two months before it. A story that prints the old figure and a story that prints the corrected one can describe the same economy very differently.

The actors. The bureau does the counting. The Federal Reserve, the central bank, sets short-term interest rates. Congress has told it to pursue maximum employment and stable prices. A weak jobs number argues for holding rates. High inflation argues for raising them. The New York Times reports that inflation "has maintained pressure on markets". MSNBC writes of the Fed as a bank that has been raising rates. Traders bet on what the Fed will do next, and their bets move when a jobs report lands.

What is at stake. The midterm elections are on Nov. 3. Every House seat and about a third of the Senate are on the ballot. The Washington Post and Stateline both note that this was the last jobs report before the vote. Both parties campaign on how voters feel about the economy.

Where it stands. September's gain was 29,000. Unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1%, according to MSNBC. The Fed's next meeting is in late October, according to The New York Times. The next jobs report is due after the election.

What is being argued about

  • Which August figure the September number is compared with
  • Whose forecast 29,000 fell short of
  • Whether the Fed skips a rate rise in October
  • Wages against inflation, and Black unemployment
Jobs added, as each outlet printed themChart
August appears twice because two outlets print different figures for it. The 84,000 forecast is CNBC's, and CNBC does not say whose it is.
Sources The Hill
Centre estimate · not a score
The Hill 🇺🇸US · digital · independent US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Hill → What we have measured Accusation attributed the word lying is placed in a named politician's mouth, not the outlet's ×1Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out ×1Actor named No actor named for who let reporters back in ×1Actor named Names the state as the one that carried out the execution. ×1 from 4303 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Stateline
Centre estimate · not a score
Stateline 🇺🇸US · digital · independent Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Stateline → What we have measured Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1 from 124 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Labor market faltered in September as jobs increased by just 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N NPR
Centre estimate · not a score
NPR 🇺🇸US · public broadcaster · independent The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at NPR → What we have measured Asserted, not attributed that the system wrongly flagged citizens is stated flat, with no source named for it ×1Asserted versus attributed public disbelief stated as established, with nothing cited that measured it ×1Asserted versus attributed Past threats of force are stated flat, as background ×1Asymmetric labelling one side tagged by its patron, the other not ×1 from 1143 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
What each outlet set 29,000 againstSide by side
OutletMeasured againstIn their words
The HillAugust, 162,000"The economy added 162,000 jobs in August"
StatelineAugust revised to 133,000"revised down from 162,000 to 133,000"
NPRA combined revision"revised down by a total of 60,000 jobs"
CNBCA forecast"well below the 84,000 forecast"
MSNBCThe Fed's next move"won't stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates, but it might pause"
The Washington PostWages and inflation"wages continued to lag behind inflation"
The New York TimesBlack unemployment"Black Unemployment Rose Sharply in September"
Taken from the opening lines we hold of each report.
Sources The Hill
Centre estimate · not a score
The Hill 🇺🇸US · digital · independent US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Hill → What we have measured Accusation attributed the word lying is placed in a named politician's mouth, not the outlet's ×1Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out ×1Actor named No actor named for who let reporters back in ×1Actor named Names the state as the one that carried out the execution. ×1 from 4303 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Stateline
Centre estimate · not a score
Stateline 🇺🇸US · digital · independent Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Stateline → What we have measured Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1 from 124 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N NPR
Centre estimate · not a score
NPR 🇺🇸US · public broadcaster · independent The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at NPR → What we have measured Asserted, not attributed that the system wrongly flagged citizens is stated flat, with no source named for it ×1Asserted versus attributed public disbelief stated as established, with nothing cited that measured it ×1Asserted versus attributed Past threats of force are stated flat, as background ×1Asymmetric labelling one side tagged by its patron, the other not ×1 from 1143 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Labor market faltered in September as jobs increased by just 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
MSNBC
Left estimate · not a score
MSNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Hiring pulled back in September as U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at MSNBC → What we have measured Accuser not named The lede does not name the senator making the accusation ×1Actor named for the ban The White House is the subject of both verbs: it blocked journalists, then let CNN back in. ×1A first stated flat a never-before claim carried without a source attached ×1Asserted, not attributed absence of fraud evidence stated as fact ×1 from 1468 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
T The Washington Post
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Washington Post 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, as employers face growing uncertainty Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Washington Post → What we have measured Accused's denial carried the only report carrying the Marine's side ×1Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat ×1Asserted, not attributed a shift of power to Iran stated flat in the headline ×1Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech ×1 from 1237 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent Black Unemployment Rose Sharply in September, Jobs Report Shows Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The bias in this coverageBias

Which August

Three reports give a figure for August, and they do not agree. One prints 162,000, one says it was revised down to 133,000, and one gives only a combined revision of 60,000 across July and August. The rest give no August figure.

3 reports with an August figure 1 reports printing the revised figure 11 reports we hold

What the number is measured against

One report sets the number against a forecast. Three set it against the Fed's next move, and two against the midterms. One leads on Black unemployment.

3 reports framed on the Fed 2 reports framed on the midterms 1 reports citing a forecast 1 reports leading on Black unemployment
Scored without the mastheads. Where the two passes differ, both are kept.
Sources The Hill
Centre estimate · not a score
The Hill 🇺🇸US · digital · independent US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Hill → What we have measured Accusation attributed the word lying is placed in a named politician's mouth, not the outlet's ×1Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out ×1Actor named No actor named for who let reporters back in ×1Actor named Names the state as the one that carried out the execution. ×1 from 4303 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Stateline
Centre estimate · not a score
Stateline 🇺🇸US · digital · independent Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Stateline → What we have measured Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1 from 124 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N NPR
Centre estimate · not a score
NPR 🇺🇸US · public broadcaster · independent The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at NPR → What we have measured Asserted, not attributed that the system wrongly flagged citizens is stated flat, with no source named for it ×1Asserted versus attributed public disbelief stated as established, with nothing cited that measured it ×1Asserted versus attributed Past threats of force are stated flat, as background ×1Asymmetric labelling one side tagged by its patron, the other not ×1 from 1143 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
MSNBC
Left estimate · not a score
MSNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Hiring pulled back in September as U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at MSNBC → What we have measured Accuser not named The lede does not name the senator making the accusation ×1Actor named for the ban The White House is the subject of both verbs: it blocked journalists, then let CNN back in. ×1A first stated flat a never-before claim carried without a source attached ×1Asserted, not attributed absence of fraud evidence stated as fact ×1 from 1468 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Labor market faltered in September as jobs increased by just 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
T The Washington Post
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Washington Post 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, as employers face growing uncertainty Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Washington Post → What we have measured Accused's denial carried the only report carrying the Marine's side ×1Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat ×1Asserted, not attributed a shift of power to Iran stated flat in the headline ×1Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech ×1 from 1237 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent U.S. Labor Market Shifts to a Lower Gear Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent Black Unemployment Rose Sharply in September, Jobs Report Shows Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent Soft Jobs Report Boosts Market Bets Fed Will Skip October Rate Increase Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Traders now see little chance of a Fed rate hike in October after weak jobs report Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent 10-year Treasury yield ticks higher despite weaker-than-expected jobs report Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →

Claims and verdicts

true The US economy added 29,000 jobs in September and unemployment rose to 4.2 percent.
The Hill, Stateline, NPR, MSNBC, CNBC and The Washington Post all give these figures, taken from the Bureau of Labor Statistics release. This is a single official source, but every outlet reports it the same way.
Checked against 6 sources:
The Hill
Centre estimate · not a score
The Hill 🇺🇸US · digital · independent US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Hill → What we have measured Accusation attributed the word lying is placed in a named politician's mouth, not the outlet's ×1Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out ×1Actor named No actor named for who let reporters back in ×1Actor named Names the state as the one that carried out the execution. ×1 from 4303 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Stateline
Centre estimate · not a score
Stateline 🇺🇸US · digital · independent Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Stateline → What we have measured Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1 from 124 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N NPR
Centre estimate · not a score
NPR 🇺🇸US · public broadcaster · independent The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at NPR → What we have measured Asserted, not attributed that the system wrongly flagged citizens is stated flat, with no source named for it ×1Asserted versus attributed public disbelief stated as established, with nothing cited that measured it ×1Asserted versus attributed Past threats of force are stated flat, as background ×1Asymmetric labelling one side tagged by its patron, the other not ×1 from 1143 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
MSNBC
Left estimate · not a score
MSNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Hiring pulled back in September as U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at MSNBC → What we have measured Accuser not named The lede does not name the senator making the accusation ×1Actor named for the ban The White House is the subject of both verbs: it blocked journalists, then let CNN back in. ×1A first stated flat a never-before claim carried without a source attached ×1Asserted, not attributed absence of fraud evidence stated as fact ×1 from 1468 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Labor market faltered in September as jobs increased by just 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
T The Washington Post
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Washington Post 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, as employers face growing uncertainty Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Washington Post → What we have measured Accused's denial carried the only report carrying the Marine's side ×1Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat ×1Asserted, not attributed a shift of power to Iran stated flat in the headline ×1Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech ×1 from 1237 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
misleading The economy added 162,000 jobs in August.
The Hill prints 162,000 as the August figure. Stateline says Friday's report revised it down to 133,000, and NPR says July and August together were revised down by 60,000.
Checked against 3 sources:
The Hill
Centre estimate · not a score
The Hill 🇺🇸US · digital · independent US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Hill → What we have measured Accusation attributed the word lying is placed in a named politician's mouth, not the outlet's ×1Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out ×1Actor named No actor named for who let reporters back in ×1Actor named Names the state as the one that carried out the execution. ×1 from 4303 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Stateline
Centre estimate · not a score
Stateline 🇺🇸US · digital · independent Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Stateline → What we have measured Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1 from 124 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N NPR
Centre estimate · not a score
NPR 🇺🇸US · public broadcaster · independent The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at NPR → What we have measured Asserted, not attributed that the system wrongly flagged citizens is stated flat, with no source named for it ×1Asserted versus attributed public disbelief stated as established, with nothing cited that measured it ×1Asserted versus attributed Past threats of force are stated flat, as background ×1Asymmetric labelling one side tagged by its patron, the other not ×1 from 1143 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
unverified September's payroll gain fell well below a forecast of 84,000.
Only CNBC gives the 84,000 forecast, and it does not say whose forecast it is. CNBC and The New York Times both call the report weaker than expected but give no number.
Checked against 3 sources:
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Labor market faltered in September as jobs increased by just 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent 10-year Treasury yield ticks higher despite weaker-than-expected jobs report Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent Soft Jobs Report Boosts Market Bets Fed Will Skip October Rate Increase Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →

Who wrote it

T Talmon Joseph Smith The New York Times · 2 reports on this story
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Who is counted The only report to break the figure down by group×1
Who is counted Leads on Black unemployment rather than the headline number×1
From 6 reports we hold under this byline, at The New York Times. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
C Colby Smith The New York Times
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Figure not sourced Gives a 90 percent chance of a rate rise without saying where the odds come from.×1
Figure unsourced a 90 percent probability with no source for the odds×1
Lead frame legal outcome first: the lede leads with the absence of a criminal referral, not with the cost×1
Which measure Rounded headline cost of about $2.5 billion, with no base year or starting estimate×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
2 unverified2 true
From 35 reports we hold under this byline, at The New York Times. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
B Ben Casselman The New York Times
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Who is counted The only report to break the figure down by group×1
Who is counted Leads on Black unemployment rather than the headline number×1
From 10 reports we hold under this byline, at The New York Times. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
T Tim Henderson Stateline
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice×1
Which figure is used Prints the revision, 162,000 down to 133,000, and judges the result flat×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 misleading1 true
From 14 reports we hold under this byline, at Stateline. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
C Charlie Herman MSNBC
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Prediction stated flat Predicts Fed action without attributing it to any source×1
Prediction stated flat Says what the Fed will do, with no source named×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 true
From 7 reports we hold under this byline, at MSNBC. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
S Scott Horsley NPR
No independent reading has coded a report under this byline yet. We do not infer a journalist's views from the outlet that employs them.
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 misleading1 true
From 9 reports we hold under this byline, at NPR. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
D Davis Giangiulio CNBC
No independent reading has coded a report under this byline yet. We do not infer a journalist's views from the outlet that employs them.
From 45 reports we hold under this byline, at CNBC. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
M Max Rego The Hill
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out×1
Asymmetric labelling the Democratic leader is given his state without a party letter, where the same-shaped report on the Speaker gives party and state×1
Attributed prediction The six-month exit is Kennedy's prediction and is attributed to him×1
Cost acknowledged the costs are stated as prices, not as lives×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
2 misleading3 disputed5 unverified8 true
From 229 reports we hold under this byline, at The Hill. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
J Jeff Cox CNBC
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Benchmark choice Measures the figure against a forecast, without naming whose forecast×1
Benchmark chosen The only report to measure 29,000 against a forecast×1
Who bears it framed as a problem for the Fed chair, not for borrowers×1
Who is named as acting markets are the actor and their expectation is stated as fact×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
1 unverified1 true
From 36 reports we hold under this byline, at CNBC. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
L Lauren Kaori Gurley The Washington Post
What the bias passes found in their reporting
Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat×1
Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech×1
Headline against body the headline states an improvement flat as what the data shows; the body shows it is the chair who picked those numbers out×1
Measure choice Adds wages against inflation and the midterm date×1
Claims we checked that rest on their reporting
3 unverified2 true
From 12 reports we hold under this byline, at The Washington Post. Two independent readings, each made without the masthead, a quote attached to every tag. A record, never a rating. Their full record →
The bylines on the reports this story is built from. Hover one for what our passes have measured on their reporting. · 1 report we hold carries no byline — we do not invent one.

Coverage, outlet by outlet

CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent 10-year Treasury yield ticks higher despite weaker-than-expected jobs report Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Notes that 10-year Treasury yields rose even though the report was weaker than expected.
U.S. Treasury yields rose despite a September jobs report came in much weaker than expected.
Read it at CNBC → https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/treasury-yields-bonds-nonfarm-payrolls.…
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent U.S. Labor Market Shifts to a Lower Gear Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
The economy added fewer jobs in September and unemployment ticked up, while inflation has maintained pressure on markets and raised costs.
Read it at The New York Times → https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/business/economy/jobs-report-unemplo…
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent Soft Jobs Report Boosts Market Bets Fed Will Skip October Rate Increase Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Says market odds of a rate change in late October dropped, citing the jobs report and signals from Fed officials.
The odds of an interest rate change at the Federal Reserve’s meeting in late October have dropped following a softer jobs report and strong signaling from bank officials.
Read it at The New York Times → https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/business/economy/jobs-report-fed-int…
The New York Times
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The New York Times 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent Black Unemployment Rose Sharply in September, Jobs Report Shows Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The New York Times → What we have measured Active and passive voice the ship is 'targeted' with no actor, one sentence before a named actor is given for the Saudi attack ×1Active vs passive voice Pike is named as the killer in the active voice; the botched execution has no actor named ×1Actor label Names the shooter by its backer, not by its own name. ×1Actor named Names the official and what the process did to Pike. ×1 from 3859 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
The only report to break the figures down by race: Black unemployment "rose sharply". The text we hold gives no number.
Economists had taken a recent drop in Black unemployment as a hopeful sign that job gains were lifting a broad share of workers.
Who is counted: Leads on Black unemployment rather than the headline number — “Black Unemployment Rose Sharply in September”
Who is counted: The only report to break the figure down by group — “Black Unemployment Rose Sharply in September, Jobs Report Shows”
Read it at The New York Times → https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/business/economy/jobs-report-black-u…
Stateline
Centre estimate · not a score
Stateline 🇺🇸US · digital · independent Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at Stateline → What we have measured Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1 from 124 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
The only report that gives August's revised figure: down from 162,000 to 133,000. Calls the result "disappointing".
11:08 News Story Economy Labor Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K Black unemployment rose by a percentage point, though still down from a year ago. By Tim Henderson - October 2, 2026 11:08 am Providers give emergency care to patients via telehealth at Dartmouth Health, based in Vermont and New Hampshire, which announced last month it would lay off 124 employees and cancel 303 positions. Nationwide, health care jobs continued to grow in September but at a lower pace as hospitals continued to seek financial stability. (Photo courtesy of Dartmouth Health) Jobs across the United Stat
Evaluation stated flat: The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice — “a disappointing result”
Which figure is used: Prints the revision, 162,000 down to 133,000, and judges the result flat — “a disappointing result as recent growth was also revised down”
Read it at Stateline → https://stateline.org/2026/10/02/hiring-slows-in-september-with-job-gro…
MSNBC
Left estimate · not a score
MSNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Hiring pulled back in September as U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at MSNBC → What we have measured Accuser not named The lede does not name the senator making the accusation ×1Actor named for the ban The White House is the subject of both verbs: it blocked journalists, then let CNN back in. ×1A first stated flat a never-before claim carried without a source attached ×1Asserted, not attributed absence of fraud evidence stated as fact ×1 from 1468 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Says the numbers "won't stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates, but it might pause", and names no source.
After an unexpectedly strong jobs report in August, employers created fewer jobs in September than economists had forecast. The Labor Department said Friday that the economy added 29,000 jobs last month, lower than the 90,000 expected. Revisions to the previous two months found 60,000 fewer jobs than were created than previously reported. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2% from 4.1%. “The US labor market delivered more of the same in September,” wrote Cory Stahle, senior economist at Indeed. “Steadiness without a spark.” The slowdown in hiring last month gives the Federal Reserve room
Prediction stated flat: Says what the Fed will do, with no source named — “The numbers won’t stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates, but it might pause.”
Prediction stated flat: Predicts Fed action without attributing it to any source — “The numbers won’t stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates, but it might pause.”
Read it at MSNBC → https://www.ms.now/news/u-s-added-29000-jobs-in-september-2026
N NPR
Centre estimate · not a score
NPR 🇺🇸US · public broadcaster · independent The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at NPR → What we have measured Asserted, not attributed that the system wrongly flagged citizens is stated flat, with no source named for it ×1Asserted versus attributed public disbelief stated as established, with nothing cited that measured it ×1Asserted versus attributed Past threats of force are stated flat, as background ×1Asymmetric labelling one side tagged by its patron, the other not ×1 from 1143 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Gives the revision only as a combined 60,000 cut across July and August.
Economy The U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September as job market lacks spark October 2, 20269:54 AM ET Scott Horsley Restaurants and bars added 11,000 jobs in September, about a third of all the jobs added during the month. Job gains for July and August were revised downward. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images hide caption toggle caption i Justin Sullivan/Getty Images The U.S. job market showed signs of weakness in September as hiring slowed and the unemployment rate inched higher. Economy Ever wonder how the Fed's interest rate actually works? We've got answers A report from the Labor Department
Read it at NPR → https://www.npr.org/2026/10/02/nx-s1-5989140/jobs-labor-wages-federal-r…
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Traders now see little chance of a Fed rate hike in October after weak jobs report Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Headline only: traders now see "little chance" of an October Fed hike.
Read it at CNBC → https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/fed-rate-hike-odds-decline-after-septem…
The Hill
Centre estimate · not a score
The Hill 🇺🇸US · digital · independent US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Hill → What we have measured Accusation attributed the word lying is placed in a named politician's mouth, not the outlet's ×1Actor named No actor named for who kept reporters out ×1Actor named No actor named for who let reporters back in ×1Actor named Names the state as the one that carried out the execution. ×1 from 4303 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Prints August as 162,000 and gives June and July as 31,000 and 21,000. The text we hold stops before any revision.
The U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, according to new data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The unemployment rate also ticked up slightly to 4.2 percent, the BLS reported. The economy added 162,000 jobs in August, after employers added 31,000 and 21,000 jobs in June and July, respectively. But BLS…
Figure choice: Prints the original August figure of 162,000; the visible text cuts off before any revision — “The economy added 162,000 jobs in August”
Which figure is used: Prints August as 162,000; the text we hold breaks off before any revision — “The economy added 162,000 jobs in August, after employers added 31,000 and 21,000 jobs in June and July, respectively.”
Read it at The Hill → https://thehill.com/business/6123510-us-economy-jobs-report-september-b…
CNBC
Centre estimate · not a score
CNBC 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent Labor market faltered in September as jobs increased by just 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at CNBC → What we have measured Accepted term 'refund' used without quotation marks ×1Asserted versus attributed gives the motive as fact, not as Trump's stated reason ×1Attackers named as proxies the attackers are named only through their backer, Iran ×1Attacks named but not counted The report names the attackers. 'Escalating' comes with no count of attacks or damage. ×1 from 2880 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
The only report to give a forecast: 84,000, with no source named.
Nonfarm payrolls were expected to increase by 84,000 in September while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%.
Benchmark choice: Measures the figure against a forecast, without naming whose forecast — “well below the 84,000 forecast”
Benchmark chosen: The only report to measure 29,000 against a forecast — “well below the 84,000 forecast”
Read it at CNBC → https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/jobs-report-september-2026.html
T The Washington Post
Centre-left estimate · not a score
The Washington Post 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, as employers face growing uncertainty Open this report in The AI Times → Read it at The Washington Post → What we have measured Accused's denial carried the only report carrying the Marine's side ×1Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat ×1Asserted, not attributed a shift of power to Iran stated flat in the headline ×1Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech ×1 from 1237 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Leads on wages that "continued to lag behind inflation" and on the Nov. 3 midterm.
Forecasters had expected gains of about 84,000 new jobs in September, consistent with a stable but sluggish labor market.
Measure choice: Adds wages against inflation and the midterm date — “while wages continued to lag behind inflation”
What the measure leaves out: Sets wages against inflation, which other ledes leave out — “while wages continued to lag behind inflation”
Read it at The Washington Post → https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/10/02/us-economy-added-290…
Checked, didn’t cover
Mother Jones
Left estimate · not a score
Mother Jones 🇺🇸US · magazine · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Asserted, not attributed 'ultra-gerrymandered' stated as fact ×1Asserted versus attributed 'Cover-up' is asserted in the report's own voice, not attributed ×1Asserted versus attributed calls it a cover-up in its own voice ×1Assertion vs attribution describes the operation as a 'violent occupation' in its own voice, with no source for the phrase ×1 from 360 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Reuters
Centre estimate · not a score
Reuters 🇺🇸US · wire · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Actor named The attacker is the subject of an active verb for both the deaths and the damage ×1Actor named No actor named for who cancelled the flights ×1Agreement stated flat, source in a tail attribution moved after the dash ×1Announcement written as settled A social-media post becomes a future indicative: the conversion will happen ×1 from 13380 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
P Politico
Centre estimate · not a score
Politico 🇺🇸US · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Fox News
Right estimate · not a score
Fox News 🇺🇸US · TV/radio · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Accused named Names one former fraternity member through his lawyer's denial. The woman is anonymous by her own choice. ×1Actor in headline The headline names Trump as the one acting. The body names only Anduril. ×1A number, with no people named The only report that gives a figure counts the journalists whose communications were swept up. It names none of them. ×1Asserted, not attributed stated flat: past court defeats are asserted with no case, judge or date named ×1 from 6421 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Breitbart
Right estimate · not a score
Breitbart 🇺🇸US · digital · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Anyone hurt is counted, not named eight deaths given as a number only ×1Framing of motive The lede calls the denial a punishment and puts 'fake news' in quotation marks; the officials being sued are left unnamed ×1How the person shot is named a status, not a name: the only report that never uses either name calls him an illegal alien ×1How the place is described a party label attached to the city in the same clause as the casualty count ×1 from 3572 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
The Wall Street Journal
Centre-right estimate · not a score
The Wall Street Journal 🇺🇸US · newspaper · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Nothing scored yet. We do not carry a rating for any outlet — only what we have measured from published text. Outlet profile in The AI Times →
National Review
Centre-right estimate · not a score
National Review 🇺🇸US · magazine · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Asserted not attributed Doubt about the allegation is stated flat, in the outlet's own voice ×1Asserted not attributed An argument about deterrence is stated as fact ×1Asserted versus attributed calls it an abuse of power in its own voice ×1Asserted versus attributed 'Abuse of presidential power' is stated flat ×1 from 413 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
Silence is recorded, not inferred — each of these was read when we built this story and carried nothing on this event.
We could not read these
Associated Press
Centre estimate · not a score
Associated Press 🇺🇸US · wire · independent No report held from this outlet on this story. What we have measured Dating and attribution Dates the signing to Aug. 6, 2026 and writes ord ×1Dating and attribution Carries a dateline correction, repeated three ti ×1How hard the claim is stated Marks "birth tourism" as the administration's ow ×1How hard the claim is stated high ×1 from 223 articles we hold · quote attached Outlet profile in The AI Times →
These are must-cite outlets for this desk that we did not manage to read when we built this story. That is a gap in our reach, not a silence on their part, and it is not evidence of anything about this story.

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