The Hill prints August at 162,000 jobs; Stateline says it was revised down to 133,000
Every outlet agrees September added 29,000 jobs and unemployment rose to 4.2%. They do not agree on the August figure it is measured against, and only CNBC gives a forecast.
The agreed number. The Hill, Stateline, NPR, MSNBC, CNBC and The Washington Post all report 29,000 jobs added in September and unemployment at 4.2%. All take it from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That is one source, not six.
The disputed number. How sharp the slowdown looks depends on which August an outlet prints.
| Outlet | August, as printed | Revision given? |
|---|---|---|
| The Hill | 162,000 | No: the text we hold breaks off at "But BLS" |
| Stateline | 133,000 | Yes: "revised down from 162,000" |
| NPR | none | July and August together "revised down by a total of 60,000" |
The benchmark. CNBC says 29,000 was "well below the 84,000 forecast". It does not say whose forecast. CNBC and The New York Times call the report weaker than expected. Stateline calls it "disappointing" in its own voice.
The Fed. MSNBC says the numbers "won't stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates, but it might pause", and names no source. CNBC says traders now see "little chance" of an October hike. The New York Times says market odds of a change in late October have dropped.
What is not settled - Whether The Hill went on to give the revision. We hold only its opening lines. - July's revised figure. No report we hold gives it. - How far Black unemployment rose. The New York Times says "sharply". The text we hold gives no number. - What Reuters reported. We could not read it.
This story is about the monthly count of American jobs, and how much the latest one shows the economy slowing.
How it got here. On the first Friday of most months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes two numbers. The bureau is part of the Labor Department. One number is how many jobs employers added, from a survey of businesses. The other is the unemployment rate, from a survey of households. The first estimate for any month is provisional. It is revised in each of the next two reports as late survey returns come in. So every release carries three numbers: the new month, and corrected figures for the two months before it. A story that prints the old figure and a story that prints the corrected one can describe the same economy very differently.
The actors. The bureau does the counting. The Federal Reserve, the central bank, sets short-term interest rates. Congress has told it to pursue maximum employment and stable prices. A weak jobs number argues for holding rates. High inflation argues for raising them. The New York Times reports that inflation "has maintained pressure on markets". MSNBC writes of the Fed as a bank that has been raising rates. Traders bet on what the Fed will do next, and their bets move when a jobs report lands.
What is at stake. The midterm elections are on Nov. 3. Every House seat and about a third of the Senate are on the ballot. The Washington Post and Stateline both note that this was the last jobs report before the vote. Both parties campaign on how voters feel about the economy.
Where it stands. September's gain was 29,000. Unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1%, according to MSNBC. The Fed's next meeting is in late October, according to The New York Times. The next jobs report is due after the election.
What is being argued about
- Which August figure the September number is compared with
- Whose forecast 29,000 fell short of
- Whether the Fed skips a rate rise in October
- Wages against inflation, and Black unemployment
Claims and verdicts
The Hill
The Hill
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
Stateline
Stateline
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K
Open this report in The AI Times →
Read it at Stateline →
What we have measured
Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1
Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N
NPR
MSNBC
MSNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
CNBC
CNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, as employers face growing uncertainty
Open this report in The AI Times →
Read it at The Washington Post →
What we have measured
Accused's denial carried the only report carrying the Marine's side ×1Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat ×1Asserted, not attributed a shift of power to Iran stated flat in the headline ×1Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech ×1
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The Hill
The Hill
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
Stateline
Stateline
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K
Open this report in The AI Times →
Read it at Stateline →
What we have measured
Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1
Outlet profile in The AI Times →
N
NPR
CNBC
CNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
CNBC
CNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
The New York Times
The New York Times
🇺🇸US ·
newspaper · independent
Who wrote it
The New York Times · 2 reports on this story
The New York Times
The New York Times
Stateline
MSNBC
CNBC
The Hill
CNBC
Coverage, outlet by outlet
CNBC
CNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
The New York Times
The New York Times
🇺🇸US ·
newspaper · independent
The New York Times
The New York Times
🇺🇸US ·
newspaper · independent
The New York Times
The New York Times
🇺🇸US ·
newspaper · independent
Stateline
Stateline
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
Hiring slows in September with job growth of 29K
Open this report in The AI Times →
Read it at Stateline →
What we have measured
Evaluation stated flat The figure is judged disappointing in the outlet's own voice ×1Evaluative word in a news sentence the plan is described as embattled, with no one named as saying so ×1Loaded adjective 'massive' describes the law in the report's own voice ×1Loaded adjective describes the parent law as 'massive' in its own voice ×1
Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
MSNBC
MSNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
CNBC
CNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
The Hill
The Hill
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
CNBC
CNBC
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, as employers face growing uncertainty
Open this report in The AI Times →
Read it at The Washington Post →
What we have measured
Accused's denial carried the only report carrying the Marine's side ×1Actor named via accusation the administration is named as acting, through the ranchers' charge; the price rise is stated flat ×1Asserted, not attributed a shift of power to Iran stated flat in the headline ×1Asserted or attributed the headline states as data what the body shows the chair selecting in a speech ×1
Outlet profile in The AI Times →
— independent
Mother Jones
Mother Jones
🇺🇸US ·
magazine · independent
What we have measured
Asserted, not attributed 'ultra-gerrymandered' stated as fact ×1Asserted versus attributed 'Cover-up' is asserted in the report's own voice, not attributed ×1Asserted versus attributed calls it a cover-up in its own voice ×1Assertion vs attribution describes the operation as a 'violent occupation' in its own voice, with no source for the phrase ×1
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Reuters
Reuters
🇺🇸US ·
wire · independent
What we have measured
Actor named The attacker is the subject of an active verb for both the deaths and the damage ×1Actor named No actor named for who cancelled the flights ×1Agreement stated flat, source in a tail attribution moved after the dash ×1Announcement written as settled A social-media post becomes a future indicative: the conversion will happen ×1
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P
Politico
Fox News
Fox News
🇺🇸US ·
TV/radio · independent
What we have measured
Accused named Names one former fraternity member through his lawyer's denial. The woman is anonymous by her own choice. ×1Actor in headline The headline names Trump as the one acting. The body names only Anduril. ×1A number, with no people named The only report that gives a figure counts the journalists whose communications were swept up. It names none of them. ×1Asserted, not attributed stated flat: past court defeats are asserted with no case, judge or date named ×1
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Breitbart
Breitbart
🇺🇸US ·
digital · independent
What we have measured
Anyone hurt is counted, not named eight deaths given as a number only ×1Framing of motive The lede calls the denial a punishment and puts 'fake news' in quotation marks; the officials being sued are left unnamed ×1How the person shot is named a status, not a name: the only report that never uses either name calls him an illegal alien ×1How the place is described a party label attached to the city in the same clause as the casualty count ×1
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The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal
🇺🇸US ·
newspaper · independent
What we have measured
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National Review
National Review
🇺🇸US ·
magazine · independent
What we have measured
Asserted not attributed Doubt about the allegation is stated flat, in the outlet's own voice ×1Asserted not attributed An argument about deterrence is stated as fact ×1Asserted versus attributed calls it an abuse of power in its own voice ×1Asserted versus attributed 'Abuse of presidential power' is stated flat ×1
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